{"id":14773,"date":"2024-04-01T01:55:30","date_gmt":"2024-04-01T01:55:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2024\/04\/01\/beijing-deplores-taiwans-next-president-but-welcomes-an-old-one\/"},"modified":"2024-04-01T01:55:30","modified_gmt":"2024-04-01T01:55:30","slug":"beijing-deplores-taiwans-next-president-but-welcomes-an-old-one","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2024\/04\/01\/beijing-deplores-taiwans-next-president-but-welcomes-an-old-one\/","title":{"rendered":"Beijing Deplores Taiwan\u2019s Next President, but Welcomes an Old One"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"text-align:center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1050\" height=\"550\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2024\/04\/01\/multimedia\/01china-taiwan-clbp\/01china-taiwan-clbp-facebookJumbo.jpg?resize=1050,550&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"Beijing Deplores Taiwan\u2019s Next President, but Welcomes an Old One\" title=\"Beijing Deplores Taiwan\u2019s Next President, but Welcomes an Old One\" \/><\/div><p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">As tensions fester between China and Taiwan, one elder politician from the island democracy is getting an effusive welcome on the mainland: Ma Ying-jeou, a former president.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Ma\u2019s 11-day trip across China, which was set to begin on Monday, comes at a fraught time. Beijing and Taipei have been in dispute over two Chinese fishermen who died while trying to flee a Taiwanese coast guard vessel in February, and China has <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/03\/24\/world\/asia\/china-taiwan-ships.html\" title=\"\">sent its own coast guard ships<\/a> close to a Taiwanese-controlled island near where the men died.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Taiwanese officials expect China to intensify its military intimidation once the island\u2019s next president, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/01\/14\/world\/asia\/taiwan-election-lai.html\" title=\"\">Lai Ching-te<\/a>, takes office on May 20. His Democratic Progressive Party rejects Beijing\u2019s claim that Taiwan is part of China, and Chinese officials particularly dislike Mr. Lai, often citing his 2017 <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/01\/14\/world\/asia\/taiwan-election-lai.html\" title=\"\">description of himself<\/a> as a \u201cpragmatic worker for Taiwan\u2019s independence.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">On the other hand, China\u2019s warm treatment of Mr. Ma, 73, Taiwan\u2019s president from 2008 to 2016, seems a way to emphasize that Beijing will keep an open door for politicians who favor closer ties and accept its conditions for talks.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cBeijing\u2019s policy toward Taiwan will definitely be using more of both a gentle touch but also a hard fist,\u201d <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"http:\/\/www.tidx.tku.edu.tw\/Front\/People\/Faculty\/Members.aspx?id=Mg19MK%2FlJN4=&amp;PID=0000000043\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Chang Wu-yue<\/a>, a professor at the Graduate Institute of China Studies of Tamkang University in Taiwan, said in an interview about Mr. Ma\u2019s visit.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Officials from Mr. Ma\u2019s Nationalist Party have <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.taipeitimes.com\/News\/taiwan\/archives\/2024\/03\/28\/2003815586\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">hinted<\/a> that later in his trip, he may meet with China\u2019s top leader, Xi Jinping. That would echo <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2015\/11\/08\/world\/asia\/presidents-china-taiwan-meet-shake-hands-singapore.html\" title=\"\">groundbreaking talks that the two held in 2015<\/a>. China has frozen high-level official contacts since Taiwan\u2019s current president, Tsai Ing-wen, took office in 2016. She and the president-elect, Mr. Lai, belong to the same party, usually known by its initials, D.P.P.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Lai has said that there will be no drastic change in Taiwan\u2019s status, and that he wants talks with China. But his party rejects Beijing\u2019s conditions for official talks, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.eastwestcenter.org\/publications\/role-1992-consensus-and-taiwans-2024-presidential-elections\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">especially a formula under which each side accepts there is \u201cone China,<\/a>\u201d even if they differ on what that means. The Democratic Progressives call that a rhetorical trap to advance China\u2019s claim over Taiwan.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Nationalist Party officials argue that they help Taiwan by talking to senior Chinese officials.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cWhat if an accident happens? There\u2019s no dialogue, no communication channel, between the D.P.P. government and the Communist government in China,\u201d Sean Lien, a vice chairman of the Nationalist Party, said in an interview before Mr. Ma\u2019s trip. \u201cThe fact that he\u2019s visiting China in early April, and probably will meet with Xi Jinping \u2014 I actually think that will help reduce the mounting tensions between Taiwan and mainland China.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">For Mr. Xi, a meeting with Mr. Ma may be a way of trying to show Chinese people that Taiwan is not slipping irretrievably beyond hope of unification.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cFor Beijing, it\u2019s in Xi\u2019s interest to show that time is on mainland China\u2019s side, and maybe he can spin a meeting with Ma \u2014 if it happens \u2014 to convey that narrative to the domestic audience,\u201d said <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gmfus.org\/find-experts\/bonnie-s-glaser\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Bonnie S. Glaser<\/a>, managing director of the Indo-Pacific program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States. \u201cThat might ease some of the pressure that is rising internally.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">In part, Mr. Ma\u2019s trip is another move in the contest between his Nationalist Party and Mr. Lai\u2019s incoming administration. <\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Lai <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/01\/13\/world\/asia\/taiwan-election-china-us.html\" title=\"\">won 40 percent of the presidential vote,<\/a> prevailing in a three-way race. But the Nationalists <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/globaltaiwan.org\/2024\/01\/the-outcomes-of-taiwans-2024-legislative-elections\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">won the most seats<\/a> in the legislative election. Both the <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/focustaiwan.tw\/politics\/202401170019\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Nationalists<\/a> and <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/english.news.cn\/20240113\/a669c1402683472ca4e420ca94fcd8df\/c.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Chinese officials<\/a> have said that those results showed that Mr. Lai does not represent mainstream Taiwanese opinion, a message Beijing is likely to amplify during Mr. Ma\u2019s visit.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But Mr. Ma\u2019s visit to China has risks for his party. He represents a wing of the Nationalists committed to Taiwan\u2019s reconciliation with Beijing as part of one Chinese nation, an idea that other sectors of his party, and Taiwanese voters, are wary of. In the final days of Taiwan\u2019s presidential race, the Nationalist candidate, Hou Yu-ih, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/focustaiwan.tw\/cross-strait\/202401110006\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">distanced himself from Mr. Ma<\/a> over comments that the former president made about Taiwan\u2019s military vulnerabilities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cNo matter how much you defend yourself, you can never fight a war with the mainland; you can never win,\u201d <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=OZcQaUR0yZg\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Mr. Ma told Deutsche Welle<\/a>. Unification with China could be acceptable to Taiwan, he added, if achieved peacefully and democratically.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">According to a poll of Taiwanese people by the <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/esc.nccu.edu.tw\/PageDoc\/Detail?fid=7801&amp;id=6963\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Election Study Center<\/a> of National Chengchi University in Taipei, about 1 percent support unification \u201cas soon as possible.\u201d Nearly 90 percent favor some version of Taiwan\u2019s current ambiguous status quo: self-ruling, separate from China, but short of full formal independence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The D.P.P. has accused Mr. Ma of selling out Taiwanese interests by going to China.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThe Chinese Communists are trying to use Ma Ying-jeou\u2019s visit to frame the terms for political discussion on both sides of the Taiwan Strait,\u201d <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ly.gov.tw\/EngPages\/List.aspx?nodeid=12070\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Wang Ting-yu<\/a>, a Democratic Progressive lawmaker, said in an interview. Mr. Ma does not represent mainstream views within his own party, Mr. Wang said: \u201cHe has lost the mandate of public opinion.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">As president, Mr. Ma expanded economic ties with China, including tourism. But his plans for a more ambitious trade pact ran aground in 2014 after protesters <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2014\/04\/08\/world\/asia\/concession-offered-taiwan-group-to-end-protest-of-china-trade-pact.html\" title=\"\">occupied Taiwan\u2019s legislature<\/a>, arguing that the agreement would undermine Taiwan\u2019s economic autonomy.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Ma first visited China last year, though he did not meet with Mr. Xi. This time, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/focustaiwan.tw\/cross-strait\/202403250012\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">he will lead a group<\/a> of Taiwanese students to Guangdong Province in southern China and to Shaanxi Province in the northwest, there to attend a ceremony honoring the <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.chinadaily.com.cn\/life\/yellow_emperor_memorial_ceremony\/2012-03\/12\/content_14812971.htm\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Yellow Emperor<\/a>, the mythic forefather of Han people. Finally, they will visit Beijing, where the meeting with Mr. Xi may take place.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Taiwan\u2019s Nationalist Party <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/tw.news.yahoo.com\/%E7%9B%B8%E4%BF%A1%E6%9C%89%E5%8A%A9%E5%85%A9%E5%B2%B8%E5%92%8C%E5%B9%B3%E7%A9%A9%E5%AE%9A-%E5%9C%8B%E6%B0%91%E9%BB%A8%E9%AB%98%E5%BA%A6%E8%82%AF%E5%AE%9A%E9%A6%AC%E8%8B%B1%E4%B9%9D%E5%86%8D%E6%AC%A1%E5%87%BA%E8%A8%AA%E5%A4%A7%E9%99%B8-070800740.html#:~:text=%E5%89%8D%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E9%A6%AC%E8%8B%B1%E4%B9%9D%E5%9B%9B%E6%9C%88,%E5%B8%B8%E6%83%85%EF%BC%8C%E5%9C%8B%E6%B0%91%E9%BB%A8%E4%B9%9F%E6%A8%82%E8%A6%8B%E3%80%82\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">issued a statement<\/a> defending Mr. Ma\u2019s trip and expressing \u201chope that this visit will contribute to cross-strait peace and stability.\u201d It also noted that Mr. Ma no longer held any senior posts in the party.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThey are setting up some protection,\u201d said <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.shsu.edu\/academics\/political-science\/faculty\/weng.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Dennis Lu-Chung Weng<\/a>, an associate professor at Sam Houston State University in Texas who studies Taiwanese politics. \u201cIf anything goes wrong in Beijing, or Ma Ying-jeou mentions something unacceptable to the Taiwanese people, the party will indicate that they are not with Ma Ying-jeou on that.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As tensions fester between China and Taiwan, one elder politician from the island democracy is getting an effusive welcome on the mainland: Ma Ying-jeou, a former president. Mr. Ma\u2019s 11-day trip across China, which was set to begin on Monday, comes at a fraught time. Beijing and Taipei have been in dispute over two Chinese [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":14774,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2024\/04\/01\/multimedia\/01china-taiwan-clbp\/01china-taiwan-clbp-facebookJumbo.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1226,20465,2627,18119,20466],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14773"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14773"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14773\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14775,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14773\/revisions\/14775"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14774"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14773"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14773"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14773"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}