{"id":16186,"date":"2024-04-02T13:08:23","date_gmt":"2024-04-02T13:08:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2024\/04\/02\/ukraines-arms-industry-is-growing-but-is-it-growing-fast-enough\/"},"modified":"2024-04-02T13:08:23","modified_gmt":"2024-04-02T13:08:23","slug":"ukraines-arms-industry-is-growing-but-is-it-growing-fast-enough","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2024\/04\/02\/ukraines-arms-industry-is-growing-but-is-it-growing-fast-enough\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukraine\u2019s Arms Industry Is Growing, but Is It Growing Fast Enough?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"text-align:center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1050\" height=\"550\" src=\"https:\/\/i3.wp.com\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2024\/03\/28\/multimedia\/00ukraine-weaponsindustry-01-vtph\/00ukraine-weaponsindustry-01-vtph-facebookJumbo.jpg?fit=1050,550&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"Ukraine\u2019s Arms Industry Is Growing, but Is It Growing Fast Enough?\" title=\"Ukraine\u2019s Arms Industry Is Growing, but Is It Growing Fast Enough?\" \/><\/div><p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Ukraine\u2019s military had only one Bohdana artillery cannon in its arsenal when Russia invaded the country two years ago. Yet that single weapon, built in Ukraine in 2018 and able to shoot NATO-caliber rounds, proved so effective in the earliest days of the war that it was trucked to battlefields across the country, from the northeastern city of Kharkiv to the southwestern coast along the Black Sea and points in between.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Now, Ukraine\u2019s arms industry is building eight of the self-propelled Bohdana artillery systems each month, and although officials will not say how many they\u2019ve made in total, the increased output signals a potential boom in the country\u2019s domestic weapons production.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The ramp-up comes at a pivotal moment. Russia\u2019s war machine is already <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/tass.com\/defense\/1723781\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">quadrupling weapons production<\/a> in round-the-clock operations. Ukraine\u2019s forces are losing territory in some key areas, including the strategic eastern town of <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/02\/15\/world\/europe\/ukraine-war-avdiivka-russia.html\" title=\"\">Avdiivka, where they withdrew from in February<\/a>. A U.S. aid package is still hung up in Congress. And while European defense firms are gingerly opening operations in Ukraine, major American weapons producers have yet to commit to setting up shop in the middle of a war.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">It is widely agreed that Ukraine needs to rebuild its domestic defense industry so that its military will not have to rely for years to come on the West, which has at times hesitated to send sophisticated weapons systems \u2014 including air defenses, tanks and long-range missiles. Whether that can be done in time to alter the trajectory of a war that would be all the more tenuous without more U.S. military aid remains to be seen.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But Ukraine\u2019s military engineers have already <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/08\/28\/us\/politics\/ukraine-weapons-russia.html\" title=\"\">shown surprising skill<\/a> in jury-rigging <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/10\/28\/us\/politics\/air-defense-ukraine-frankensam.html\" title=\"\">older weapons systems with more modern firepower<\/a>. And over the last year alone, Ukraine\u2019s defense companies have built three times as many armored vehicles as they were making before the war and have quadrupled production of anti-tank missiles, according to Ukrainian government documents reviewed by The New York Times.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Funding for research and development is forecast to increase by eight times this year \u2014 to $1.3 billion from $162 million \u2014 according to an analysis of Ukraine\u2019s military budget through 2030 by Janes, a defense intelligence firm. Military procurement jumped to a projected 20-year high of nearly $10 billion in 2023, compared with a prewar figure of about $1 billion a year.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cWe say that death to the enemy starts with us,\u201d Alexander Kamyshin, Ukraine\u2019s Strategic Industries minister, said in an interview last month in his office in a nondescript brick building in Kyiv tucked away among restaurants and apartment blocks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cIt\u2019s about showing that we don\u2019t sit and wait until you come help us,\u201d Mr. Kamyshin said. \u201cIt\u2019s about trying to make things ourselves.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Some weapons are proving harder to produce in Ukraine than others. They include 155-millimeter artillery shells, which are in dire need on the battlefield but depend on imported raw materials and licensing rights from Western manufacturers or governments. Mr. Kamyshin said domestic production of 155-millimeter shells was \u201con the way,\u201d but would not say when.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\"><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/carnegieendowment.org\/2014\/07\/30\/saving-ukraine-s-defense-industry-pub-56282\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Once a main supplier<\/a> of the Soviet Union, Ukraine\u2019s defense industry <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/carnegieendowment.org\/2023\/12\/04\/arsenal-of-democracy-integrating-ukraine-into-west-s-defense-industrial-base-pub-91150\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">shrank<\/a> over three decades of budget cuts after the country declared independence in 1991. The government in Kyiv now plans to spend about $6 billion this year on weapons made in Ukraine, including one million drones, but, Mr. Kamyshin said, \u201cwe can produce more than we\u2019ve got funds available.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The long period of decline may be hard to overcome. To restart production of the 2S22 Bohdana artillery cannon, for example, officials had to track down the weapon\u2019s original designers and engineers, some of whom had been assigned to menial military tasks across Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">By June 2022, Ukrainian forces were using the Bohdana\u2019s 30-mile range to target and destroy Russian air defenses in the successful battle for Snake Island in the Black Sea.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cIt was a very big surprise for the Russians,\u201d said Maj. Myroslav Hai, a special operations officer who helped liberate the island. \u201cThey couldn\u2019t understand how somebody could use artillery for this distance.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">In Europe, political leaders who worry about eroding American support and business executives who see new market opportunities are promoting military production ventures in Ukraine, even if it may be several years before any of those weapons or materiel reach the battlefield.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rheinmetall.com\/en\/media\/stories\/2023\/rheinmetall-a-powerful-partner-at-ukraine-side\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">German arms giant<\/a> <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rheinmetall.com\/en\/media\/news-watch\/news\/2024\/02\/2024-02-19-joint-venture-in-the-ukraine\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Rheinmetall<\/a> and the Turkish drone-maker <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/baykartech.com\/en\/press\/turkeys-drone-maker-baykar-begins-to-build-plant-in-ukraine\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Baykar<\/a> are in the process of building manufacturing plants in Ukraine. France\u2019s defense minister said in March that <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.france24.com\/en\/france\/20240308-french-arms-companies-to-manufacture-directly-on-ukrainian-soil-defence-minister-says\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">three French companies<\/a> that produce drones and land warfare equipment were nearing similar agreements. Last month, Germany and France <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/defence-industry.eu\/france-and-germany-greenlight-knds-subsidiary-establishment-in-ukraine\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">announced a joint venture<\/a> through the defense conglomerate KNDS to build parts for tanks and howitzers in Ukraine and, eventually, whole weapons systems.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Experts said Ukraine\u2019s military has positioned air defense systems around some of its most critical weapons factories. It\u2019s likely that foreign-backed plants will largely be built in the country\u2019s west, far from the front lines but also protected by air defenses.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Christian Seear, the Ukraine operations director for the Britain-based military contractor BAE Systems, said even the nascent moves by foreign producers send \u201ca critical message \u2014 that you can go into Ukraine and set things up.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">While BAE Systems looks to manufacture weapons in Ukraine in the future, Mr. Seear said, the company is currently focused on a \u201cfix it forward\u201d approach, to repair battle-damaged weapons at factories in Ukraine to get them back to the front lines faster. Many of the weapons in Ukraine\u2019s ground war \u2014 including M777 and Archer howitzers, Bradley and CV90 combat vehicles and Challenger 2 tanks \u2014 are manufactured by BAE Systems.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cWe want to keep those things fighting, and it\u2019s becoming quite clear that you can\u2019t keep maintaining those assets in neighboring countries,\u201d Mr. Seear said. \u201cIt\u2019s not acceptable for a long-term war of attrition to have hundreds of high quality, reliable howitzers having to travel hundreds of miles.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">To date, Ukrainian and U.S. officials said, no major American weapons manufacturer has announced plans to open production lines in Ukraine. However, some senior executives have visited Kyiv in recent weeks to meet with Mr. Kamyshin and other officials, and the Biden administration hosted meetings in December to bring together Ukrainian leaders and U.S. military contractors. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Helping Ukraine rebuild its defense industry has become even more vital as Republicans in Congress have blocked $60 billion in military and financial aid to Ukraine. (However, Speaker Mike Johnson, Republican of Louisiana, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/04\/01\/us\/politics\/mike-johnson-ukraine-aid.html\" title=\"\">recently signaled<\/a> that he is looking for politically palatable ways to bring the aid package to a vote.)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But a web of bureaucracy in Kyiv threatens to slow at least some investors as they seek to push proposals through three ministries, Defense, Digital Transformation and Mr. Kamyshin\u2019s Strategic Industries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cWe\u2019re trying to get a sense of how this all fit together, and how they work together,\u201d said William B. Taylor, a former ambassador to Kyiv who is leading an effort by the U.S. Institute of Peace to help link up American and Ukrainian defense firms.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cAmerican firms have got a lot of opportunities to invest in other places around the world,\u201d Mr. Taylor said. \u201cThis is one where U.S. national interests are at stake, so it\u2019s why we would take an extra step to help make these connections.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Since 155-millimeter caliber artillery rounds are desperately needed, Mr. Taylor suggested that an initial joint venture between Ukrainian and American firms could focus on ramping up their production.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">European producers are already venturing into that market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cIf the Europeans will be involved in its development in the volumes they promise, I think we will solve the problem of \u2018shell hunger\u2019 over time,\u201d Oleksandr Syrskyi, Ukraine\u2019s armed forces commander, told Ukraine state media in an <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ukrinform.ua\/rubric-ato\/3845632-oleksandr-sirskij-golovnovnokomanduvac-zsu.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">interview published on Friday<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Although Ukraine\u2019s manufacturers are prohibited from exporting weapons until the war is over, Mr. Kamyshin sounds eager to compete with foreign arms producers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">A forceful speaker with a goatee and a topknot hair style traditionally worn by <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/who-were-the-ukrainian-cossacks\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Ukrainian Cossacks<\/a>, Mr. Kamyshin is one of what Mr. Taylor described as a new generation of leaders in Ukraine \u2014 at age 39, a young gun who has ascended rapidly through the government ranks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">After his appointment as minister, in March 2023, Mr. Kamyshin visited almost every weapons factory in Ukraine and said he found an industry badly in need of an overhaul. Workers were laboring in damaged factories in some places; in others, rockets were being built by hand.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Though he said production is moving more smoothly now, he still receives daily updates on critical assembly lines to rapidly identify breakdowns and get them fixed quickly.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cWe are moving things faster and cheaper, and they work,\u201d Mr. Kamyshin said in an interview that was as much a sales pitch for domestically built weapons as it was a discussion of foreign investments.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cWe will join you and NATO one day,\u201d he said confidently. \u201cSo if you procure from us, you\u2019re building up abilities, and that will become part of the joint capabilities one day. So why not invest in your joint capabilities?\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-798hid etfikam0\">Vladyslav Golovin<!-- --> and <!-- -->Oleksandra Mykolyshyn<!-- --> contributed reporting.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ukraine\u2019s military had only one Bohdana artillery cannon in its arsenal when Russia invaded the country two years ago. Yet that single weapon, built in Ukraine in 2018 and able to shoot NATO-caliber rounds, proved so effective in the earliest days of the war that it was trucked to battlefields across the country, from the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":16187,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2024\/03\/28\/multimedia\/00ukraine-weaponsindustry-01-vtph\/00ukraine-weaponsindustry-01-vtph-facebookJumbo.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[13848,2210,7265,617,11626],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16186"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16186"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16186\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16188,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16186\/revisions\/16188"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16187"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16186"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16186"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16186"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}