{"id":224315,"date":"2025-01-26T05:52:08","date_gmt":"2025-01-26T05:52:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2025\/01\/26\/new-leaders-in-lebanon-face-test-as-israel-is-poised-to-keep-troops-there\/"},"modified":"2025-01-26T05:52:08","modified_gmt":"2025-01-26T05:52:08","slug":"new-leaders-in-lebanon-face-test-as-israel-is-poised-to-keep-troops-there","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2025\/01\/26\/new-leaders-in-lebanon-face-test-as-israel-is-poised-to-keep-troops-there\/","title":{"rendered":"New Leaders in Lebanon Face Test as Israel Is Poised to Keep Troops There"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"text-align:center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i3.wp.com\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2025\/01\/26\/multimedia\/26lebanon-israel-01-ftqp\/26lebanon-israel-01-ftqp-facebookJumbo.jpg?ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"New Leaders in Lebanon Face Test as Israel Is Poised to Keep Troops There\" title=\"New Leaders in Lebanon Face Test as Israel Is Poised to Keep Troops There\" \/><\/div><p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-0\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">When Israel and Hezbollah signed a temporary truce in November, the agreement was hailed as a first step toward ending Lebanon\u2019s deadliest war in decades.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Both Hezbollah and Israel agreed to withdraw their forces from southern Lebanon within 60 days. The Lebanese Army and U.N. peacekeepers would secure the area. And if the truce held, negotiators hoped the agreement would become permanent, returning a measure of calm to a turbulent region.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But as the 60-day truce expired on Sunday, a very different scenario was taking shape.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Israeli forces appeared poised to remain in parts of southern Lebanon, stoking fears among Lebanese<strong class=\"css-8qgvsz ebyp5n10\"> <\/strong>of a sustained Israeli occupation and renewed hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Averting those prospects is a critical test for Lebanon\u2019s new leaders, President <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/01\/09\/world\/middleeast\/lebanon-politics-president-parliament-vote.html\" title=\"\">Joseph Aoun<\/a> and Prime Minister-designate <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/01\/13\/world\/middleeast\/lebanon-nawaf-salam-prime-minister.html\" title=\"\">Nawaf Salam<\/a>, as they seek to wrestle back political control from Hezbollah, the country\u2019s dominant political and military force.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Any prolonged Israeli occupation of southern Lebanon could breathe new life into Hezbollah, a group that was founded to liberate Lebanon from Israeli occupation and that has portrayed itself as the only force capable of protecting Lebanon\u2019s borders, experts say.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-1\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">It also threatens to derail the current political momentum in Lebanon, where for the first time in decades there is a serious push to consolidate all military power within the state, and do away with Hezbollah\u2019s justification for its vast arsenal.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-2\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The focus in Lebanon now is toward \u201cdisarming Hezbollah and transitioning from the era in which Hezbollah was seen as having the right to acquire weapons,\u201d said Mohanad Hage Ali, deputy director for research at the Carnegie Middle East Center in Beirut. Any prolonged Israeli occupation \u201cwould put the breaks on that momentum, which is happening organically,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Israeli officials have cited concerns that Hezbollah remains active in southern Lebanon and doubts about <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/11\/30\/world\/middleeast\/lebanon-army-ceasefire-israel-hezbollah.html\" title=\"\">the Lebanese Army\u2019s ability to stymie the<\/a> group. Hezbollah officials did not respond to these accusations but said they were \u201ccommitted\u201d to upholding the terms of the truce.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">On Saturday, Lebanese Army officials said they were prepared to complete their deployment in the south but had been delayed \u201cas a result of the procrastination in the withdrawal by the Israeli enemy,\u201d according to a Lebanese Army statement.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-3\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The 60-day truce took effect more than a year after Hezbollah began firing rockets toward Israeli positions in solidarity with its ally Hamas, the Palestinian militant group in Gaza that led the Oct. 7, 2023, attack on Israel. Israel retaliated by <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/09\/28\/world\/middleeast\/hassan-nasrallah-hezbollah-dead.html\" title=\"\">assassinating Hezbollah\u2019s leadership<\/a>, leveling towns and villages along the border and invading southern Lebanon.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Before Sunday\u2019s deadline, thousands of Lebanese who were displaced by the war from homes along the southern border were preparing to return home. On Saturday, the main highway leading from the capital, Beirut, to southern Lebanon was packed with cars. Few people seemed deterred by the news of Israeli forces remaining in parts of the south or the automated phone calls from the Israeli military on Saturday warning them not to return home.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-4\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cYou are forbidden to go back to your home until further notice,\u201d the automated voice said. \u201cAnyone driving south is putting their life at risk.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Israeli forces appeared to be continuing efforts that persisted during the 60-day truce to bulldoze and block roads between some villages in southern Lebanon, according to local media. Israel currently occupies roughly 70 percent of the areas that it captured after invading Lebanon last fall, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/01\/24\/world\/middleeast\/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-withdrawal-deadline.html\" title=\"\">according to the United Nations peacekeeping force in southern Lebanon<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-5\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The Lebanese Army also warned about the dangers of unexploded ordnance in some villages and towns. Still, few Lebanese appeared dissuaded from returning home.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThe people of the land will force their way in,\u201d said Abed al Karim Hasan, a banana farmer in Maaliye, a village in southern Lebanon, whose home was destroyed during the war. \u201cIf I had a house there, I would go there first thing tomorrow.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Hezbollah has not said how it plans to respond to Israel\u2019s continued occupation of Lebanese soil. On Friday, Hezbollah officials warned in a statement that if Israeli forces remained in Lebanon beyond Sunday, it would amount to \u201can attack on Lebanese sovereignty and the beginning of a new chapter of occupation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Some Hezbollah lawmakers have vowed retaliation. But other officials from Hezbollah \u2014 which has been militarily and politically battered in recent months \u2014 instead shifted responsibility for responding to Israel to the Lebanese government. The group\u2019s statement on Friday said that it was up to the state \u201cto reclaim the land and wrest it from the grip of the occupation.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-6\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">That shifting of responsibility is a tried-and-true tactic for Hezbollah, which just a few months ago had called on the state to provide for thousands of Lebanese displaced by a war it had pulled the country into. Still, the political posturing from a group whose founding principle is resisting Israeli occupation reflects Hezbollah\u2019s current weakened state.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-7\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">After 14 months of fighting, the Shiite Muslim group\u2019s military ranks are battered, and its loyal support base is weary after months of displacement and destruction. Its patron Iran has also been weakened by Israel, casting doubt over Iran\u2019s ability to provide millions of dollars for rebuilding the homes of Hezbollah supporters in Lebanon, as it did after Hezbollah\u2019s monthlong war with Israel in 2006.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">And in neighboring Syria, rebels toppled an Iran ally, the dictator Bashar al-Assad, cutting off Hezbollah\u2019s land bridge for receiving weapons and cash from Iran.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">These blows have loosened Hezbollah\u2019s once iron grasp on political power in Lebanon, shifting the country\u2019s political sands for the first time in decades. Earlier this month, Lebanese lawmakers elected a new president, Mr. Aoun, after years of political gridlock that many analysts had attributed to Hezbollah. Days later, lawmakers named Mr. Salam, a prominent diplomat whom Hezbollah had long opposed, as prime minister.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">In a country where no major political decision had been made without Hezbollah\u2019s blessing for years, those developments underscored just how much ground the group has lost. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-8\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But Middle East experts have warned against writing off Hezbollah\u2019s political weight just yet. And if Israel continues to occupy Lebanon, it could revitalize the group\u2019s mostly Shiite Muslim support base as it looks for a patron and protector against Israeli forces.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cI believe neither parties have an interest in resuming the war,\u201d said Sami Nader, the director of the Institute of Political Science at Saint Joseph University of Beirut. \u201cBut as long as Israel is occupying Lebanon, it\u2019s reviving the narrative of Hezbollah.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-798hid etfikam0\">Sara Chaito contributed reporting.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/01\/26\/world\/middleeast\/lebanon-israel-hezbollah.html\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When Israel and Hezbollah signed a temporary truce in November, the agreement was hailed as a first step toward ending Lebanon\u2019s deadliest war in decades. Both Hezbollah and Israel agreed to withdraw their forces from southern Lebanon within 60 days. The Lebanese Army and U.N. peacekeepers would secure the area. And if the truce held, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":224316,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2025\/01\/26\/multimedia\/26lebanon-israel-01-ftqp\/26lebanon-israel-01-ftqp-facebookJumbo.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[166978,2086,16220,3096,38,167528,6118,16221,169337,23004,38067,848,931],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/224315"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=224315"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/224315\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":224317,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/224315\/revisions\/224317"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/224316"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=224315"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=224315"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=224315"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}