{"id":242316,"date":"2025-02-19T13:55:28","date_gmt":"2025-02-19T13:55:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/19\/odds-of-2024-yr4-asteroid-hitting-earth-rise-again\/"},"modified":"2025-02-19T13:55:28","modified_gmt":"2025-02-19T13:55:28","slug":"odds-of-2024-yr4-asteroid-hitting-earth-rise-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/19\/odds-of-2024-yr4-asteroid-hitting-earth-rise-again\/","title":{"rendered":"Odds of 2024 YR4 asteroid hitting Earth rise again"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Odds<\/div>


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The risk of the 2024 YR4 asteroid hitting Earth at the end of 2032 has increased again, according to NASA data.<\/p>\n

Latest calculations have shown a 3.1% chance of the space rock making impact in just under eight years.<\/p>\n

It is a significant change since the European Space Agency (ESA) estimated in January<\/a><\/strong> there was 1.2% chance of a direct hit.<\/p>\n

More recent calculations showed the odds had fallen 2.3%. In comparison, astronomers say the chance of winning big on the lottery is about one in 14 million.<\/p>\n

The increased odds mean the asteroid – which is around the size of a football pitch – is the most threatening to Earth in modern asteroid forecasting and would cause “severe damage” to a region if it makes impact.<\/p>\n

Scientists continue to stress there is no need for alarm and that the odds of an impact will fluctuate. They are working to gather a better understanding of the asteroid’s trajectory.<\/p>\n

NASA and the ESA’s Webb Space Telescope will observe the asteroid for a few more weeks before it disappears from view as it heads towards Jupiter.<\/p>\n

It will not be able to be viewed again until 2028.<\/p>\n

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Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player<\/p>\n

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‘We will have all the information we need in a month’<\/span>
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NASA calculations show possible ‘risk corridor’<\/strong><\/p>\n

Data also currently shows if the rock enters the Earth’s atmosphere on 22 December 2032, it is likely to head along a large central belt of our planet and over numerous major cities.<\/p>\n

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Estimates say the rock would travel “somewhere” along a “risk corridor” above areas which are home to millions of people – but NASA data does not currently say which cities and major towns would be in this zone.<\/p>\n

NASA scientists said: “In the unlikely event that 2024 YR4 is on an impact trajectory, the impact would occur somewhere along a risk corridor which extends across the eastern Pacific Ocean, northern South America, the Atlantic Ocean, Africa, the Arabian Sea, and South Asia.”<\/p>\n

Asteroids are space rocks that scientists believe are the leftovers from the solar system’s formation 4.6 billion years ago.<\/p>\n

Read more:
What we know about the asteroid<\/a>
Nuclear weapon ‘could deflect asteroid’<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

There are millions of rocks orbiting between Mars and Jupiter in a region known as the main asteroid belt.<\/p>\n

They sometimes get pushed out of the belt and pick up a new course, such as this one.<\/p>\n

Experts have already said it will be no surprise to them if the impact probability eventually drops to zero “at some point”.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n


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Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The risk of the 2024 YR4 asteroid hitting Earth at the end of 2032 has increased again, according to NASA data. Latest calculations have shown a 3.1% chance of the space rock making impact in just under eight years. It is a significant change since the European Space Agency (ESA) estimated in January there was […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":242317,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/e3.365dm.com\/25\/02\/768x432\/skynews-asteroid-earth-space_6826746.jpg?20250212165816","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[607],"tags":[40959,2116,5809,5519,572,179432],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/242316"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=242316"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/242316\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":242318,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/242316\/revisions\/242318"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/242317"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=242316"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=242316"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=242316"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}