{"id":291240,"date":"2025-04-26T23:38:06","date_gmt":"2025-04-26T23:38:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2025\/04\/26\/canadas-election-comes-to-a-close-with-liberals-in-the-lead\/"},"modified":"2025-04-26T23:38:07","modified_gmt":"2025-04-26T23:38:07","slug":"canadas-election-comes-to-a-close-with-liberals-in-the-lead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2025\/04\/26\/canadas-election-comes-to-a-close-with-liberals-in-the-lead\/","title":{"rendered":"Canada\u2019s Election Comes to a Close, With Liberals in the Lead"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"text-align:center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2025\/04\/25\/multimedia\/25canadaletter-carney-cvml\/25canadaletter-carney-cvml-facebookJumbo.jpg?ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"Canada\u2019s Election Comes to a Close, With Liberals in the Lead\" title=\"Canada\u2019s Election Comes to a Close, With Liberals in the Lead\" \/><\/div><p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-0\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">With the end of the election campaign in sight, I asked David Coletto, the head of the polling firm Abacus Data, what stood out for him. His answer, given the exceptional political and economic turmoil in Canada, was a bit surprising.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-1\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cAs much as this election has been interesting,\u201d he told me, \u201cnot a lot has happened during the election \u2014 which is really interesting.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">There were no moments of drama as in 1984, when Brian Mulroney challenged Prime Minister John Turner over making a raft of political appointments. (\u201c<a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/player\/play\/video\/1.3627863\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">You had an option, sir<\/a>, to say no,\u201d Mr. Mulroney said, jabbing his finger, in a debate that many believe brought him to power.) Nor was there anything like the rerun between the two men four years later, when Mr. Turner said of Mr. Mulroney\u2019s free trade deal with the Reagan administration, \u201c<a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=jlvb9czZFXw\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">You have sold us out<\/a>.\u201d (That time Mr. Turner was the one to jab his finger.)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-2\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">And Monday is unlikely to bring anything as unexpected as the Orange Wave of 2011 \u2014 the New Democrats\u2019 sweep, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2011\/08\/23\/world\/americas\/23canada.html\" title=\"\">under Jack Layton<\/a>, of Quebec that made the party the official opposition for the first time in Canada\u2019s history.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Instead, the campaign is ending much as it started: a contest between the Liberals under Prime Minister Mark Carney and the Conservatives under Pierre Poilievre, with all the other parties sitting on the sidelines.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">[<em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">Read: <\/em><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/19\/world\/canada\/elections-mark-carney-pierre-poilievre.html\" title=\"\"><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">Who Will Be Canada\u2019s Next Prime Minister?<\/em><\/a>]<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">And nothing in the campaign shifted its focus away from President Trump\u2019s trade war with Canada and his stated desire to annex Canada and make it the 51st state.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">As a result, although the gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives has recently narrowed in polls, the distribution of each party\u2019s support makes it likely that the country will have a Liberal government again.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\"><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">[Read: <\/em><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/26\/world\/canada\/election-polls-carney-poilievre.html\" title=\"\"><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">Polls Tighten in Homestretch of Canada\u2019s Election<\/em><\/a><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">]<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Less clear from the polls is how decisive a Liberal win may be. That will depend in part on how the party fares in ridings surrounding Toronto, as I wrote this week.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-3\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">[<em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">Read: <\/em><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/24\/world\/canada\/canada-election-toronto.html\" title=\"\"><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">Why Greater Toronto Could Decide Who Wins Canada\u2019s Election<\/em><\/a>]<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But a Liberal victory by any margin would be an extraordinary comeback. For much of last year, it appeared that Mr. Poilievre and the Conservatives would dominate any election. They led the Liberals by upward of 27 percentage points in some polls.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Then, without the unpopular Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for the Conservatives to attack, and with the surge in both anxiety and patriotism in response to Mr. Trump\u2019s broad threats to Canada\u2019s sovereignty and economy, the Liberals became a viable political force again under Mr. Carney.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Adding to the extraordinary nature of the story, Mr. Carney is a political neophyte up against one of Canada\u2019s most experienced politicians, in Mr. Poilievre.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-4\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">After traveling this week with Mr. Carney\u2019s campaign, Matina Stevis-Gridneff, our Canada bureau chief, profiled the prime minister and his long path to politics through the world of finance and leading the central banks of both Canada and England.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-5\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\"><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">[Read: <\/em><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/26\/world\/canada\/mark-carney-canada-election-trump.html\" title=\"\"><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">Canada\u2019s Anti-Trump Finds His Moment<\/em><\/a><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">]<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">One major boost for the Liberals has been Mr. Trump\u2019s conversion of many supporters of the Bloc Qu\u00e9b\u00e9cois, a party devoted to Quebec independence, into flag-waving Canadian patriots. During a visit to Sainte-Th\u00e9r\u00e8se and Blainville in Quebec, Norimitsu Onishi, my colleague based in Montreal, found that many voters were willing to overlook Mr. Carney\u2019s sometimes dubious command of French and his lack of connection to the province.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\"><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">[Read: <\/em><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/19\/world\/americas\/canada-carney-quebec-french.html\" title=\"\"><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">Despite His Shaky French, Canada\u2019s Prime Minister Is a Hit in Quebec<\/em><\/a><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">]<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The Conservatives\u2019 gains in recent polls appear to be partly due to Mr. Poilievre\u2019s success in reminding voters about housing costs and inflation in general \u2014 the issues that once brought him to the top of the polls.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">My colleague Vjosa Isai went to Chilliwack, British Columbia, a farming community that she found had become \u201ca magnet for people from Vancouver who can no longer afford living there.\u201d And many of those people want the next prime minister to do something about that.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\"><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">[Read: <\/em><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/23\/world\/americas\/canada-election-housing-crisis.html\" title=\"\"><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">Canada\u2019s Million-Dollar Housing Crisis<\/em><\/a><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">]<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">In this campaign, unlike the previous three, talk about climate change was relatively muted. Mr. Carney\u2019s decision to kill the consumer carbon tax seems to be partly responsible for that, Max Bearak writes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\"><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">[Read: <\/em><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/26\/climate\/canada-election-climate-change.html\" title=\"\"><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">Climate Change, Once a Big Issue, Fades From Canada\u2019s Election<\/em><\/a><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">]<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">And this is the first federal general election in which Meta has blocked news from Canadians\u2019 Facebook and Instagram feeds. Matina and Stuart A. Thompson report that the resulting vacuum has been filled with content that is \u201chyperpartisan and often veering into misinformation,\u201d just as \u201ccryptocurrency scams and ads that mimic legitimate news sources have proliferated on the platforms.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-7\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<ul class=\"css-1le37cb ez3869y0\">\n<li class=\"css-1i3ul0c eoqvrfo0\">\n<p class=\"css-1il0jfh evys1bk0\">Before his death, Pope Francis commissioned <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/25\/world\/europe\/francis-poor.html\" title=\"\">a sculpture by Timothy P. Schmalz, an artist from St. Jacobs, Ontario<\/a>, to promote his message of charity, Elisabetta Povoledo reports. It was installed this month in St. Peter\u2019s Square and joins an earlier work by Mr. Schmalz that depicts 140 migrants and refugees from various points in history on a boat.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"css-1i3ul0c eoqvrfo0\">\n<p class=\"css-1il0jfh evys1bk0\"><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/23\/arts\/design\/turner-prize-shortlist.html\" title=\"\">Zadie Xa, a Canadian artist of Korean heritage<\/a>, is among this year\u2019s nominees for the prestigious Turner Prize.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"css-1i3ul0c eoqvrfo0\">\n<p class=\"css-1il0jfh evys1bk0\">Margaret Lyons, a television critic at The Times, found \u201cNorth of North,\u201d a comedy series set in a fictional Inuk community in Nunavut, to be \u201c<a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/23\/arts\/television\/north-of-north-netflix.html\" title=\"\">a cozy sweetheart show<\/a> with lots going for it.\u201d But she warns of a plot point at the end of the first episode \u201cthat casts a grotesque shadow over everything.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"css-1i3ul0c eoqvrfo0\">\n<p class=\"css-1il0jfh evys1bk0\">The police shot and <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/24\/world\/canada\/toronto-airport-shooting.html\" title=\"\">killed a man at Toronto Pearson International Airport<\/a> on Thursday after he brandished a firearm. The episode caused a partial shutdown of the largest terminal.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr class=\"css-7ad88g e1mu4ftr0\"\/>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\"><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/by\/ian-austen\" title=\"\"><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">Ian Austen<\/em><\/a><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\"> reports on Canada for The Times based in Ottawa. He covers politics, culture and the people of Canada and has reported on the country for two decades. He can be reached at <\/em><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/26\/world\/canada\/mailto:austen@nytimes.com\" title=\"\"><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">austen@nytimes.com<\/em><\/a><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">.<\/em><\/p>\n<hr class=\"css-7ad88g e1mu4ftr0\"\/><\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-8\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\"><strong class=\"css-8qgvsz ebyp5n10\">How are we doing?<\/strong><br \/>We\u2019re eager to have your thoughts about this newsletter and events in Canada in general. Please send them to <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/26\/world\/canada\/mailto:nytcanada@nytimes.com?%20subject=Canada%20Letter%20Newsletter%20Feedback\" title=\"\">nytcanada@nytimes.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\"><strong class=\"css-8qgvsz ebyp5n10\">Like this email?<\/strong><br \/>Forward it to your friends, and let them know they can sign up <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/newsletters\/canada-letter?smid=nytemail&amp;smvar=canadaletter&amp;te=1&amp;nl=canada-today&amp;emc=edit_cnda_20190622\" title=\"\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/26\/world\/canada\/canada-election-liberals.html\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With the end of the election campaign in sight, I asked David Coletto, the head of the polling firm Abacus Data, what stood out for him. His answer, given the exceptional political and economic turmoil in Canada, was a bit surprising. \u201cAs much as this election has been interesting,\u201d he told me, \u201cnot a lot [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":291241,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2025\/04\/25\/multimedia\/25canadaletter-carney-cvml\/25canadaletter-carney-cvml-facebookJumbo.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[740,6379,78588,3600,165075,165435,163575,50,872,165074,28970,165112,57271,127669,137131,169471,52,128437],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/291240"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=291240"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/291240\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":291242,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/291240\/revisions\/291242"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/291241"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=291240"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=291240"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=291240"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}