{"id":31823,"date":"2024-04-21T09:16:57","date_gmt":"2024-04-21T09:16:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2024\/04\/21\/in-a-country-awash-in-violence-a-vote-will-test-its-leaders-hard-line-stance\/"},"modified":"2024-04-21T09:16:57","modified_gmt":"2024-04-21T09:16:57","slug":"in-a-country-awash-in-violence-a-vote-will-test-its-leaders-hard-line-stance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2024\/04\/21\/in-a-country-awash-in-violence-a-vote-will-test-its-leaders-hard-line-stance\/","title":{"rendered":"In a Country Awash in Violence, a Vote Will Test Its Leader\u2019s Hard-Line Stance"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"text-align:center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1050\" height=\"549\" src=\"https:\/\/i3.wp.com\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2024\/04\/21\/multimedia\/21ecuador-security-vote-wpcv\/21ecuador-security-vote-wpcv-facebookJumbo.jpg?fit=1050,549&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"In a Country Awash in Violence, a Vote Will Test Its Leader\u2019s Hard-Line Stance\" title=\"In a Country Awash in Violence, a Vote Will Test Its Leader\u2019s Hard-Line Stance\" \/><\/div><p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Ecuadoreans will vote on Sunday in a referendum that could give their center-right president greater powers to combat drug-related gang violence and also gauge how he would fare in his bid for re-election next year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">President Daniel Noboa, the 36-year-old heir to a banana empire, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/10\/15\/world\/americas\/ecuador-election-president.html\" title=\"\">took office in November<\/a> after an election season focused on <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/02\/07\/world\/americas\/ecuador-gang-violence-noboa.html\" title=\"\">drug-related gang violence<\/a>, which has surged over the past five years to levels not seen in decades.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">In January, he <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/01\/10\/world\/americas\/ecuador-violence-gangs-prison.html\" title=\"\">declared an \u201cinternal armed conflict<\/a>\u201d and directed the military to \u201cneutralize\u201d the country\u2019s roughly two dozen gangs, which the government labeled \u201cterrorist organizations.\u201d The drastic move allowed soldiers to patrol the streets and prisons, many of which have come <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/01\/09\/world\/americas\/ecuador-gang-prison-emergency.html\" title=\"\">under gang control<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Two weeks ago, Mr. Noboa took the extraordinary step of <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/04\/06\/world\/americas\/ecuador-mexico-arrest-embassy.html\" title=\"\">arresting an Ecuadorean politician facing a prison sentence<\/a> who had taken refuge at the Mexican Embassy in Quito, in what experts called a violation of an international treaty on the sanctity of diplomatic posts. The move drew widespread condemnation across the region.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Noboa defended the embassy raid, saying the politician, a former vice president, was not entitled to protection because he was a convicted criminal.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Taken together, the deployment of the military and the forceful arrest of the former vice president were meant to show that Mr. Noboa is tough on crime and impunity, political analysts say. The vote on Sunday will gauge how strongly voters support his aggressive stance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">While <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/04\/07\/world\/americas\/ecuador-mexico-embassy-noboa.html\" title=\"\">Mr. Noboa has high approval ratings<\/a>, some human rights groups have criticized his government\u2019s harsh response as going too far and leading to abuses of people in prison and civilians in the streets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Still, most Ecuadoreans are willing to trade off Mr. Noboa\u2019s stringent tactics if it makes them less likely to become victims of crimes, experts said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cNoboa is now one of the most popular presidents in the region,\u201d said Glaeldys Gonz\u00e1lez, who researches Ecuador for the International Crisis Group, a nonprofit think tank. \u201cHe is taking advantage of those levels of popularity that he currently has to catapult himself to the presidential elections.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The referendum includes 11 questions, eight of which are related to security.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The security measures would enshrine the increased military presence into law, lengthen prison sentences for certain offenses linked to organized crime and allow the extradition of criminals convicted in Ecuador, among other changes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">A flood of violence from international criminal groups and local gangs has turned the country of 17 million into a key player in the global drug trade. Tens of thousands of Ecuadoreans have fled to the U.S.-Mexico border.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">In early January, the large coastal city of Guayaquil saw a <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/01\/10\/world\/americas\/ecuador-emergency-prisons-gangs.html\" title=\"\">turning point in the long-running security crisis<\/a>: Gangs attacked the city after the authorities moved to take charge of Ecuador\u2019s prisons.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Noboa declared the state of internal conflict in response, and his combative strategy initially reduced violence and brought a precarious sense of safety. But the stability did not last. Over the Easter holiday this month, there were 137 murders in Ecuador, and kidnappings and extortion <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.primicias.ec\/noticias\/seguridad\/estado-excepcion-aumento-secuestros-extorsiones\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">have been increasing<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The president said he sent police officers into the Mexican Embassy to arrest <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/04\/06\/world\/americas\/jorge-glas-ecuador-mexico.html\" title=\"\">Jorge Glas<\/a>, the former vice president who had been sentenced to prison for corruption, because Mexico had abused the immunities and privileges granted to the diplomatic mission.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But the move also sent a message in line with Mr. Noboa\u2019s heavy-handed approach to violence and graft.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Even as <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.perfilesdeopinion.com\/images\/pdf\/presidente.pdf\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">polls show<\/a> that his approval rating has fallen in recent months, it still stands at 74 percent. Most analysts expect Ecuadoreans to approve the security questions on the ballot.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThere really is an overwhelming support,\u201d Ms. Gonz\u00e1lez said. \u201cI would think that all of them are going to have a strong support for the \u2018yes.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But some of the questions that are unrelated to security are less popular. One would legalize hourly employment contracts, which are currently prohibited. Labor unions say employers could use them to undermine workers\u2019 rights and pay lower salaries than what is allowed by law.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Ecuadoreans can decide on each question separately, so even if they vote \u201cno\u201d on the more contentious ones, the overall result could still yield a robust mandate for Mr. Noboa, who is expected to seek a second term in elections in February.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cIf there is a favorable vote, a resounding \u2018yes\u2019 vote, it is also a way for this to help the government argue that it needs more time in power to continue with these changes and these reforms in its general fight against organized crime,\u201d Ms. Gonz\u00e1lez said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">If the security measures are approved, the results would be binding and the national assembly would have 60 days to pass them into law.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But some analysts said the referendum would serve more as a barometer of Mr. Noboa\u2019s popularity than as an effective way to tackle the country\u2019s security challenges.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cWe do not vote for the question; rather, we vote for who asked the question,\u201d said Fernando Carri\u00f3n, who studies violence and drug trafficking at the Latin American Faculty of Social Sciences, a regional research and analysis group.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">He added that measures like increasing prison sentences were likely to exacerbate the problems of overcrowding and violence in prisons.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Voters were heading to the polls after a tumultuous few weeks, but some said they were undeterred.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cI am going to vote \u2018yes\u2019 in this referendum because I am convinced that it is the only way for Ecuador to have a change, and we can all have a better future,\u201d said Susana Chej\u00edn, 62, a resident of the southern city of Loja.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cHe is making good changes for the country, to fight crime and drug trafficking,\u201d she said of Mr. Noboa.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Others said they thought the questions on the referendum were not enough to address the country\u2019s insecurity.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cWe are still in the vicious circle of focusing on the symptoms and not on the causes,\u201d said Juan Diego Del Pozo, 31, a photographer in Quito. \u201cNo question aims to solve structural problems, such as inequality. My vote will be a resounding \u2018no\u2019 on every question.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-798hid etfikam0\">Thal\u00ede Ponce<!-- --> contributed reporting from Guayaquil, Ecuador, and <!-- -->Jos\u00e9 Mar\u00eda Le\u00f3n Cabrera<!-- --> from Quito, Ecuador.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/04\/21\/world\/americas\/ecuador-referendum-vote-noboa.html\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ecuadoreans will vote on Sunday in a referendum that could give their center-right president greater powers to combat drug-related gang violence and also gauge how he would fare in his bid for re-election next year. President Daniel Noboa, the 36-year-old heir to a banana empire, took office in November after an election season focused on [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":31824,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2024\/04\/21\/multimedia\/21ecuador-security-vote-wpcv\/21ecuador-security-vote-wpcv-facebookJumbo.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[35766,643,35767,6118,21946,848,201,901],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31823"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31823"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31823\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":31825,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31823\/revisions\/31825"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/31824"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31823"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31823"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31823"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}