{"id":56524,"date":"2024-05-22T19:52:21","date_gmt":"2024-05-22T19:52:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2024\/05\/22\/sunak-has-gambled-on-election-date-knowing-success-under-any-definition-is-hard\/"},"modified":"2024-05-22T19:52:21","modified_gmt":"2024-05-22T19:52:21","slug":"sunak-has-gambled-on-election-date-knowing-success-under-any-definition-is-hard","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2024\/05\/22\/sunak-has-gambled-on-election-date-knowing-success-under-any-definition-is-hard\/","title":{"rendered":"Sunak has gambled on election date knowing success under any definition is hard"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Sunak<\/div>


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Rishi Sunak has made the calculation that 4 July is, if not the best date for an election for the Conservatives, then – as far as he can see – the least worst.<\/p>\n

Firstly, he thinks there is a story to tell on the economy – albeit one that is not without peril.<\/p>\n

Britain is out of recession, while inflation today is statistically within “normal” levels.<\/p>\n

Politics Live: Sunak ditches jacket for first election rally – as he asks ‘who do you trust?’<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Secondly, it’s likely a plane will possibly take off for the Rwanda within the election campaign. While this will be branded a success, it avoids the judgement on the true purpose of the policy – to stop the boats.<\/p>\n

Thirdly, I understand it was no longer possible to have a budget or further fiscal statement after the big promise to increase military spending to 2.5% by 2030.<\/p>\n

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Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n


\n 7:48<\/span>
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In full: PM announces election<\/span>
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One Tory source told me that the moment they saw that, they knew there wouldn’t be further tax cuts and an election would be sooner rather than later.<\/p>\n

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More on General Election 2024<\/h3>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

But more than that, there was a real – perhaps existential – question about how long Sunak could continue to hold it together.<\/p>\n

Read More:<\/strong>
General election called for 4 July<\/strong><\/a>
What happens now an election has been called?<\/strong><\/a>
Find your new constituency and how it’s changed<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

There are revolts in parliament looming – on abortion, on smoking and on shorter prison sentencing. This potentially avoids some of those.<\/p>\n

He was also facing questions whether he would have to do a reshuffle after Chris Heaton Harris, Northern Ireland Secretary, announced his departure at the next election. Precedent that should have prompted a reshuffle – perhaps this has avoided that.<\/p>\n

There are also claims – that might never be proved one way or another – that more and more Tories wanted him gone and he could have been tiptoeing closer to a vote of no confidence. Only Sir Graham Brady may know the truth of this.<\/p>\n

All of that is now in the past. Sunak has gambled, knowing success under any definition is hard.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n


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Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rishi Sunak has made the calculation that 4 July is, if not the best date for an election for the Conservatives, then – as far as he can see – the least worst. Firstly, he thinks there is a story to tell on the economy – albeit one that is not without peril. Britain is […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":56525,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/e3.365dm.com\/24\/05\/768x432\/skynews-rishi-sunak-downing-street_6563153.jpg?20240522180422","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[603],"tags":[2095,729,50,55534,8242,14565,4239,1031],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56524"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56524"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56524\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":56526,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56524\/revisions\/56526"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56525"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56524"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56524"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56524"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}