{"id":65287,"date":"2024-06-04T05:43:08","date_gmt":"2024-06-04T05:43:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2024\/06\/04\/before-a-debate-the-u-k-election-campaign-just-got-messier\/"},"modified":"2024-06-04T05:43:09","modified_gmt":"2024-06-04T05:43:09","slug":"before-a-debate-the-u-k-election-campaign-just-got-messier","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/2024\/06\/04\/before-a-debate-the-u-k-election-campaign-just-got-messier\/","title":{"rendered":"Before a Debate, the U.K. Election Campaign Just Got Messier"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"text-align:center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1050\" height=\"550\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2024\/06\/04\/multimedia\/04uk-politics-01-gwpt\/04uk-politics-01-gwpt-facebookJumbo.jpg?resize=1050,550&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"Before a Debate, the U.K. Election Campaign Just Got Messier\" title=\"Before a Debate, the U.K. Election Campaign Just Got Messier\" \/><\/div><p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer, the leader of the opposition Labour Party, will square off on Tuesday evening in their first debate of Britain\u2019s general election. But it is a third man, Nigel Farage, who has seized the spotlight in a race defined, until now, by a fading incumbent and a rising opponent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Farage, a gleeful insurgent who has long roamed the right-wing fringes of British politics, said he would run as a <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/06\/03\/world\/europe\/nigel-farage-uk-parliament.html\" title=\"\">candidate for Reform U.K.<\/a>, a party he co-founded. That has shaken up the race and threatens to siphon off votes from Mr. Sunak\u2019s Conservative Party, given Reform U.K.\u2019s strident anti-immigration message.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Farage\u2019s entry into the race is not by itself transformative. He has run for a seat in the British Parliament seven times \u2014 and lost every time. But his return could breathe momentum into other Reform U.K. candidates, throwing yet another hurdle into Mr. Sunak\u2019s path between now and the vote on July 4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The prime minister is struggling to avert a landslide defeat to Labour, which has held a double-digit polling lead over the Conservatives for more than a year. His debate with Mr. Starmer, though early in the campaign, already looms as a make-or-break chance to change a fast-congealing narrative.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThe election is over; it is done; Labour have won the election,\u201d Mr. Farage said in declaring his candidacy in a surprise announcement on Monday. Describing it as \u201cthe dullest, most boring general election campaign we have ever seen in our lives,\u201d Mr. Farage, 60, said the race needed \u201cgingering up,\u201d and offered himself as the tonic.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Sunak called the election on May 22, several months earlier than expected, in part to exploit a few glimmers of good economic news. He has moved aggressively to appeal to voters who might be attracted to the hard-right Reform U.K, proposing a national service requirement for 18-year-olds and floating a new law that would bar transgender women from women\u2019s restrooms and female-only prisons.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But the Tories stumbled out of the gate on immigration when Mr. Sunak said his government\u2019s flagship plan to put asylum seekers on one-way flights to Rwanda <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/05\/23\/world\/europe\/uk-sunak-election-rwanda.html\" title=\"\">would not begin<\/a> before the election. The Labour Party has vowed to shelve the policy if it comes into power, suggesting that the flights may never happen.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">There is no evidence that Mr. Sunak\u2019s decision to go to the voters early changed the dismal electoral picture for the Tories. A poll released Monday by the market research firm YouGov, which surveyed almost 60,000 adults, projects that <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/yougov.co.uk\/politics\/articles\/49606-first-yougov-mrp-of-2024-general-election-shows-labour-on-track-to-beat-1997-landslide\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">the party will lose 225 seats<\/a> while Labour will gain 220.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Though on the more <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.moreincommon.org.uk\/general-election-2024\/mrp\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">bullish side<\/a> of projections for Labour, those numbers would give the party a bigger majority than even that won by former Prime Minister Tony Blair in his landslide victory in 1997. The poll does not project that Reform U.K. will win any seats, a testament to the obstacles that smaller parties face in winning seats in Britain\u2019s first-past-the-post electoral system, though it was conducted before Mr. Farage\u2019s announcement.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">For Mr. Farage, analysts said, the decision to run for Parliament may be part of a grander strategy to take over the Conservative Party after its expected defeat. But throwing his hat into the ring now is not without risks, they said, and they go beyond his own potential eighth consecutive defeat.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cOn the one hand, it grabs the headlines and will almost certainly prove yet another nail in the government\u2019s coffin,\u201d said Tim Bale, a professor of politics at Queen Mary University of London. \u201cOn the other, if he does the Tories too much damage, those Tory M.P.s left in Parliament, and even some of the party\u2019s grass-roots activists who purport to love him, aren\u2019t going to feel too warmly toward him.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cStill,\u201d Professor Bale added, \u201ca hostile takeover is still a takeover.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Whether or not he wins, Mr. Farage will electrify a campaign that got off to a soggy start, going back to Mr. Sunak\u2019s announcement, made in a drenching shower outside 10 Downing Street.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">While Mr. Sunak retreated from Rwanda, Mr. Starmer\u2019s Labour Party lost several days to an internal squabble over Diane Abbott, a Black member of Parliament who was <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/uk-politics-65365978\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">suspended from Labour last year<\/a> for suggesting that Irish, Jewish and Traveler people did not face racism in the same way that Black people did. (<a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/travellermovement.org.uk\/gypsy-roma-and-traveller-history-and-culture\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Travelers<\/a> are nomadic minority groups that are among the most <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/commonslibrary.parliament.uk\/research-briefings\/cbp-8083\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">disadvantaged in Britain<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Ms. Abbott, a revered figure on the party\u2019s left, had been expected to bow out of the election in return for having the suspension lifted and being given a peerage in the House of Lords. But after she balked and the party\u2019s progressive wing rose up to defend her, Mr. Starmer said she was \u201c<a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/cy00npvpmzpo\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">free to go forward as a Labour candidate<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Ms. Abbott, 70, confirmed that she planned to run to regain her seat in North London, putting an end to an episode that distracted from Labour\u2019s theme of \u201cchange\u201d after 14 years of Conservative government.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Starmer tried to regain his footing on Monday with a speech in which he pledged to increase Britain\u2019s military spending and modernize its nuclear arsenal. He said he would not hesitate to use nuclear weapons to defend Britain, a statement designed to push back on the Conservative critique that Labour is weak on national security.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Conservative officials pointed out that the last time the country\u2019s Trident nuclear-weapons system came up for renewal, in 2016, senior Labour figures, including David Lammy, the shadow foreign secretary, and Angela Rayner, the deputy leader, both voted against it. (Mr. Starmer voted to renew it.)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThis is a changed Labour Party, and the most important thing is, I voted in favor of a nuclear deterrent,\u201d Mr. Starmer said. \u201cI lead from the front; I\u2019ve always led from the front.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Given the size of Labour\u2019s lead over the Conservatives, analysts said the biggest danger for Mr. Starmer was self-created problems, which could cause voters to have second thoughts about the party. That is why the dispute over Ms. Abbott\u2019s status frustrated some Labour supporters.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But Mr. Starmer\u2019s challenge pales next to that of Mr. Sunak, who is trying to claw his party back from oblivion. He has campaigned energetically but unevenly, laughing at wisecracks over his rain-sodden debut and gamely accepting umbrellas.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Not a natural politician, the prime minister has soldiered through campaign appearances and photo opportunities that have occasionally backfired. Last week, a young man, referring to the party\u2019s proposal for compulsory national service, asked him, \u201cWhy do you hate young people so much?\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">On Sunday, Mr. Sunak released a TikTok video to poke fun at what he said was the Labour Party\u2019s lack of plans. He turned the cover of a flip chart to reveal a blank page. Within minutes, Labour operatives had <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/UKLabour\/status\/1797332094990831616\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">tweaked the video<\/a> to list the party\u2019s goals on the blank page. The next day, Mr. Sunak was photographed chatting with residents of Henley-on-Thames, England. Behind him sailed a boat with supporters of the Liberal Democrats, cheering and waving signs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Sunak has long ruled out any alliance between the Conservatives and Reform U.K. On Monday, he brushed aside the threat from Mr. Farage, who will run for a seat in the seaside constituency of Clacton.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cAt the end of the day on July 5, one of two people will be prime minister, either Keir Starmer or me,\u201d Mr. Sunak said to broadcasters. \u201cA vote for anyone who is not a Conservative candidate is just a vote to put Keir Starmer in No. 10.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/06\/04\/world\/europe\/uk-election-debate-sunak-starmer-farage.html\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer, the leader of the opposition Labour Party, will square off on Tuesday evening in their first debate of Britain\u2019s general election. But it is a third man, Nigel Farage, who has seized the spotlight in a race defined, until now, by a fading incumbent and a rising opponent. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":65288,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2024\/06\/04\/multimedia\/04uk-politics-01-gwpt\/04uk-politics-01-gwpt-facebookJumbo.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[2243,2610,50,62195,503],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65287"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65287"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65287\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":65289,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65287\/revisions\/65289"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/65288"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65287"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65287"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.talkwithrattan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65287"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}