While the monsoon may start on a tepid note, the second half of the four month season is expected to be bountiful, according to the forecast.
“..monsoon season may start with risk of impairment, attributable to the remnant effects of El Nino. The second half of the season will have an overwhelming edge over the primal phase, ” said Jatin Singh, managing director, Skymet said in a statement.
In terms of geographical prospects, Skymet expects sufficiently good rains in the South, West, and Northwest regions.
While the core monsoon rainfed zone of Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh will get equitable rainfall the eastern states of Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha and West Bengal will be at risk of deficit rainfall during peak monsoon months of July and August.
“Northeast India is likely to observe less than normal rains during the first half of the season, ” Skymet said.