Pakistan’s Champions Trophy 2025 Semifinal Qualification Scenario After IND vs PAK Match

India defeated Pakistan by six wickets in the most anticipated match of the Champions Trophy 2025 at the Dubai International Cricket Stadium on February 23 (Sunday). The defeat came as Pakistan’s second loss on the trot in the Champions Trophy and the hosts and the defending champions are now all but eliminated from the semifinals race.

Virat Kohli’s brilliant 111-ball century, his 51st in ODIs, powered India to a dominant six-wicket win, leaving Pakistan winless after two matches following their opening loss to New Zealand. While Mohammad Rizwan and his team face an extremely difficult path ahead, there could still be a slim chance of them making it to the semifinals. However, things are not in their hands anymore.

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How Can Pakistan Qualify For Champions Trophy 2025 Semifinals?

Pakistan are positioned at the bottom of the Group A points table, with two losses in as many matches and an abysmal net run rate (NRR) of -1.087. For them to even stand a chance of qualifying to the semis, Pakistan must first defeat Bangladesh in their final group stage game and then will have to rely on other results to stay in contention for the knockouts. Here’s how:

If New Zealand lose both of their remaining matches against Bangladesh and India and Pakistan secure a victory in their final game against Bangladesh, all three teams—Pakistan, New Zealand and Bangladesh—will finish with 2 points from 3 matches. In this scenario, Pakistan can advance to the semifinals based on a better NRR. However, to achieve this, they must secure a resounding win over Bangladesh to improve their NRR, which currently stands at -1.087—the lowest in the group.

Here’s how the Champions Trophy 2025 Group A points table reads after the IND vs PAK match in Dubai: